File Under: No Duh

WaPo:

As tensions increase between the United States and Iran, U.S. intelligence and terrorism experts say they believe Iran would respond to U.S. military strikes on its nuclear sites by deploying its intelligence operatives and Hezbollah teams to carry out terrorist attacks worldwide.

Iran would mount attacks against U.S. targets inside Iraq, where Iranian intelligence agents are already plentiful, predicted these experts. There is also a growing consensus that Iran's agents would target civilians in the United States, Europe and elsewhere, they said.

U.S. officials would not discuss what evidence they have indicating Iran would undertake terrorist action, but the matter "is consuming a lot of time" throughout the U.S. intelligence apparatus, one senior official said. "It's a huge issue," another said.

What would you expect?  This is classic 4GW: Iran faces a huge conventional military threat, unlike North Korea they don't have nukes yet to deter an attack, and they've seen what happened to Iraq, so of course they're going to rely on asymmetric tactics.

But the winner for the dumbest "no duh" in the article is this:

Former CIA terrorism analyst Paul R. Pillar said that any U.S. or Israeli airstrike on Iranian territory "would be regarded as an act of war" by Tehran.

Man, I could be a terrorism analyst if this is all it takes...

ntodd